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Empirical data show that firms tend to improve their ranking in the productivity distribution over time. A sticky-price model with firm-level productivity growth fits this data and predicts that the optimal long-run inflation rate is positive and between 1.5% and 2% per year. In contrast, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886886
growth model can be a potential source of local indeterminacy. He also shows that on a high-growth path, the government, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956031
Separately, news and sunspot shocks have been shown empirically to be determinants of changes in expectations. This paper considers both of them together in a simple New Keynesian monetary business cycle model. A full set of rational expectations solutions is derived analytically. The analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008522643
We examine global economic dynamics under learning in a New Keynesian model in which the interest-rate rule is subject to the zero lower bound. Under normal monetary and fiscal policy, the intended steady state is locally but not globally stable. Large pessimistic shocks to expectations can lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700647
in response solely to future in°ation induce real indeterminacy of equilibrium. Applying the Samuelson … by itself has a quantitatively negligible effect and almost all strict inflation-targeting rules lead to indeterminacy … stickiness, indeterminacy is much less likely to occur as policy also responds to output. With estimated labor supply elasticity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755151
frameworks and techniques for analyzing climate policy in the context of uncertainty. This paper will give an overview of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955710
. A key assumption is that mergers create uncertainty on productivity and informational asymmetry between firms. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956064
An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper … discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956134
that the social cost of carbon, corrected for uncertainty and inequity, is 61 US dollar per metric tonne of carbon. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083362
The paper develops a model of firm´s investment under uncertainty with financial market imperfections and analyzes the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083386