Showing 1 - 10 of 49
This paper investigates the nature of the IV method for tackling endogeneity. By tracing the rise and fall of the method in macroeconometrics and its subsequent revival in microeconometrics, it pins the method down to an implicit model respecification device - breaking the circular causality of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956033
of the CVAR are shown to be interpretable in terms of expectations formation, market clearing, nominal rigidities, etc …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083339
with unemployment and bargaining frictions. Shocks to long-run inflation expectations appear to account for much of the … expectations; in fact, conditions were deflationary all throughout the 1930s in spite of high money growth and low interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017500
This paper presents a simple experiment on how laypeople form macroeconomic expectations. Subjects have to forecast … forecasts. It turns out that the availability of historical data has a dominant impact on expectations and wipes out the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216277
The production of bioenergy is considered to be a promising energy source for a sustainable energy mix and it is politically promoted in many countries. With the exception of Brazilian ethanol, bioenergy not competitive to fossil energy sources, and therefore needs to be subsidised. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293458
Separately, news and sunspot shocks have been shown empirically to be determinants of changes in expectations. This … expectations solutions is derived analytically. The analytical characterization allows an explicit comparison of news about future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008522643
It is believed that the primary economic solution to climate change is an introduction of a carbon pricing system anchored to the social cost of carbon, either as a form of tax or tradable permits. Potentially significant externalities accompanying the introduction of emission-reducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008584373
technology penetration in the future – in extreme cases, expectations prevail over policy. This feature highlights the danger of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854239
We analyze the international transmission of financial stress and its effects on economic activity. We construct country specific monthly financial stress indexes (FSI) using dynamic factor models from 1970 until 2012 for 20 countries. We show that there is a strong co-movement of the FSI during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886840
This paper analyzes the effects of short-time work (i.e., government subsidized working time reductions) on unemployment and output fluctuations. The central question is whether the rule based component (i.e., the existence of the institution short-time work) and the discretionary component...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886965