We distinguish and assess three fundamental views of the labor market regarding the movements in unemployment: (i) the … that all the short-run fluctuations automatically turn into long-run changes in the unemployment rate. We assert the …

This paper provides a critique of the "unemployment invariance hypothesis," according to which the behavior of the … labor market ensures that the long-run unemployment rate is independent of the size of the capital stock, productivity, and … equilibrating mechanisms to ensure unemployment invariance and that other markets may perform part of the equilibrating process as …

We reconsider the central role of the natural rate of unemployment (NRU) in forming policy decisions. We show that the … unemployment rate does not gravitate towards the NRU due to frictional growth, a phenomenon that encapsulates the interplay between … empirical analysis and find that the NRU explains only 33% of the unemployment variation, while frictional growth accounts for …

fundamental role in shaping unemployment movements. This role has generally been examined by considering indirect transmission … single-equation unemployment rate models. Here we advocate a different approach. We directly estimate the effects of capital … stock in the labour market by applying the chain reaction theory of unemployment, and we find that capital stock is a major …

the PC and explain the evolution of inflation and unemployment in the US from 1970 to 2006. Since our empirical …-run. Furthermore, during the stagflating 70s, the productivity slowdown contributed substantially to the increases in both unemployment … and inflation, while the monetary expansion was quite ineffective and led mainly to higher inflation. Finally, the …

The conventional wisdom that inflation and unemployment are unrelated in the long-run implies that these phenomena can … inflation and unemployment. … be analysed by separate branches of economics. The macro literature tries to explain inflation dynamics and estimates the …

This paper analyses the relation between US inflation and unemployment from the perspective of "frictional growth," a … has not only persistent, but permanent real effects, giving rise to a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. We … the US unemployment and inflation trajectories during the nineties. …

This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on "frictional growth" describing the … able to work themselves out fully. In this context, monetary shocks have a gradual and delayed effect on inflation, and … these shocks also generate plausible impulse-responses for unemployment. Although our theory contains no money illusion, no …

model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …

The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as ‘ ‘ chain reactions’’ of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of … interacting lagged adjustment processes. In the context of estimated labor market systems for Germany, the UK, and the US, we …