Forecasting real economic activity poses a considerable challenge not only due to hard-to-predict events like the current financial crisis but also due to the fact that targeted variables often undergo significant revisions after their first publication. In this paper we report the results of a...

Vor dem Hintergrund der weltweiten Finanzmarkt- und Wirtschaftskrise fordern prominente Ökonomen zum Kurshalten in der deutschen Wirtschafts- und Arbeitsmarktpolitik auf. Die Experten legen einen Katalog mit Handlungsempfehlungen vor, der unter anderem die Korrektur falscher Erwerbsanreize...

Typically, laboratory experiments suffer from homogeneous subject pools and self-selection biases. The usefulness of survey data is limited by measurement error and by the questionability of their behavioral relevance. Here we present a method integrating interactive experiments and...