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Testing for short and long-run causality : the case of the yield spread and economic growth

Breitung, Jörg; Candelon, Bertrand - 2001

To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009617950

Estimation and testing for varying coefficients in additive models with marginal integration

Yang, Lijian; Härdle, Wolfgang; Park, Byeong U. - 2002

regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627286

Sources of German unemployment : a structural vector error correction analysis

Brüggemann, Ralf - 2001

. We compare these results to results from a standard SVECM and find that, using the Subset VECM reduces estimation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613616

Forecasting performance of market share attraction models : a comparison of different models assuming that competitors’ actions are forecasts

Klapper, Daniel; Herwartz, Helmut - 1998

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578563

Money and banks : some theory and empirical evidence for Germany

Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002

. -- monetary policy ; Endogenous money ; industrial organization approach to banking theory ; money multiplier ; vector error …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620766

Real estate valuation according to standardized methods : an empirical analysis

Schulz, Rainer - 2002

Appraisals are needed for decision-making and for performance evaluation. Knowledge on the accuracy of valuation methods is of general interest for banks and investors. We assess the accuracy of the German Regulation on Valuation with monthly data on appraisals and prices for commercial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625798

Multivariate volatility models

Fengler, Matthias R.; Herwartz, Helmut - 2001

Multivariate Volatility Models belong to the class of nonlinear models for financial data. Here we want to focus on multivariate GARCH models. These models assume that the variance of the innovation distribution follows a time dependent process conditional on information which is generated by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009615423

Was there a regime change in the German monetary transmission mechanism in 1983?

Candelon, Bertrand; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000

Recent investigations of the transmission mechanism of German monetary policy arrive at quite different conclusions regarding its stability during the period of monetary targeting by the Bundesbank. In this study small dynamic models for the monetary sector of the German economy are analyzed in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583433

Confidence intervals for state price densities

Hlávka, Zdeněk (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001916784

Fitting the smile revisited : a least squares kernel estimator for the implied volatility surface

Fengler, Matthias R. (contributor); Wang, Qihua (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001919426