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Estimation and testing for varying coefficients in additive models with marginal integration

Yang, Lijian; Härdle, Wolfgang; Park, Byeong U. - 2002

regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence … as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical …We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627286

Lag selection in subset VAR models with an application to a US monetary system

Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000

Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885

Semiparametric modelling of the cross-section of expected returns in the German stock market

Stehle, Richard; Bunke, Olaf; Sommerfeld, Volker - 1997

According to the Sharpe-Lintner capital asset pricing model, expected rates of return on individual stocks differ only because of their different levels of non-diversifiable risk (beta). However, Fama/French (1992) show that the two variables size and book-to-market ratio capture the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022

Forecasting the real output using fractionally integrated techniques

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001

The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of fractionally integrated techniques. Using a version of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994), we show that the series can be specified in terms of I(d) statistical models with d...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613608

Rank tests for nonlinear cointegration

Breitung, Jörg - 1998

A test procedure based on ranks is suggested to test for nonlinear cointegration. For two (or more) time series it is assumed that there exist monotonic transformations such that the normalised series can asymptotically be represented by independent Brownian motions. Rank test procedures based...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578004

Testing for linear autoregressive dynamics under heteroskedasticity

Hafner, Christian M.; Herwartz, Helmut - 1998

One puzzling behavior of asset returns for various frequencies is the often observed positive autocorrelation at lag 1. To some extent this can be explained by standard asset pricing models when assuming time varying risk premia. However, one often finds better results when directly fitting an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579187

Trend adjustment prior to testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process

Saikkonen, Pentti; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 1997

Testing the cointegrating rank of a vector autoregressive process which may have a deterministic linear trend is considered. Previous proposals for dealing with such a situation are either to allow for a deterministic trend term in computing a suitable test statistic or else remove the linear...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009659627

Order selection in testing for the cointegrating rank of a VAR process

Lütkepohl, Helmut; Saikkonen, Pentti - 1997

The impact of the choice of the lag length on tests for the number of cointegration relations in a vector autoregressive (VAR) process is investigated. It is shown that the asymptotic distribution of likelihood ratio (LR) tests for the cointegrating rank remains unchanged if the true data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009660377

Testing for vector autoregressive dynamics under heteroskedasticity

Hafner, Christian M.; Herwartz, Helmut - 2002

In this paper we introduce a bootstrap procedure to test parameter restrictions in vector autoregressive models which is robust in cases of conditionally heteroskedastic error terms. The adopted wild bootstrap method does not require any parametric specification of the volatility process and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009663846

Testing of unit roots and other fractionally integrated hypotheses in the presence of structural breaks

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2000

Tests for unit roots and other nonstationary hypotheses that were proposed by Robinson (1994) are applied in this article to the Nelson and Plosser's (1982) series. The tests can be expressed in a way allowing for structural breaks under both the null and the alternative hypotheses. When...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582385