It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...

Because the parameters of vector autoregressive processes are often difficult to interpret directly, econometricians use quantities derived from the parameters to disentangle the relationships between the variables. Bootstrap methods are often used for inference on the derived quantities....

Bootstrap confidence intervals for impulse responses computed from autoregressive processes are considered. A detailed analysis of the methods in current use shows that they are not very reliable in some cases. In particular, there are theoretical reasons for them to have actual coverage...

Linear errors-in-covariables models are considered, assuming the availability of independent validation data on the covariables in addition to primary data on the response variable and surrogate covariables. We first develop an estimated empirical log-likelihood with the help of validation data...

We construct pointwise confidence intervals for regression functions. The method uses nonparametric kernel estimates and the "moment-oriented" bootstrap method of Bunke which is a wild bootstrap based on smoothed local estimators of higher order error moments. We show that our bootstrap...

In this paper we test the purchasing power parity for the post Bretton Woods period for 18 main industrial countries. As base currencies we use alternatively the Deutsche mark, the Japanese yen, and the US dollar. We employ error correction models for single countries and on the level of pooled...