Showing 1 - 10 of 14
We distinguish and assess three fundamental views of the labor market regarding the movements in unemployment: (i) the … that all the short-run fluctuations automatically turn into long-run changes in the unemployment rate. We assert the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763692
This paper provides a critique of the "unemployment invariance hypothesis," according to which the behavior of the … labor market ensures that the long-run unemployment rate is independent of the size of the capital stock, productivity, and … equilibrating mechanisms to ensure unemployment invariance and that other markets may perform part of the equilibrating process as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822664
We reconsider the central role of the natural rate of unemployment (NRU) in forming policy decisions. We show that the … unemployment rate does not gravitate towards the NRU due to frictional growth, a phenomenon that encapsulates the interplay between … empirical analysis and find that the NRU explains only 33% of the unemployment variation, while frictional growth accounts for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822576
the PC and explain the evolution of inflation and unemployment in the US from 1970 to 2006. Since our empirical …-run. Furthermore, during the stagflating 70s, the productivity slowdown contributed substantially to the increases in both unemployment … and inflation, while the monetary expansion was quite ineffective and led mainly to higher inflation. Finally, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011906
fundamental role in shaping unemployment movements. This role has generally been examined by considering indirect transmission … single-equation unemployment rate models. Here we advocate a different approach. We directly estimate the effects of capital … stock in the labour market by applying the chain reaction theory of unemployment, and we find that capital stock is a major …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703387
The conventional wisdom that inflation and unemployment are unrelated in the long-run implies that these phenomena can … inflation and unemployment. … be analysed by separate branches of economics. The macro literature tries to explain inflation dynamics and estimates the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566415
This paper analyses the relation between US inflation and unemployment from the perspective of "frictional growth," a … has not only persistent, but permanent real effects, giving rise to a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. We … the US unemployment and inflation trajectories during the nineties. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566580
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on "frictional growth" describing the … able to work themselves out fully. In this context, monetary shocks have a gradual and delayed effect on inflation, and … these shocks also generate plausible impulse-responses for unemployment. Although our theory contains no money illusion, no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761764
model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566739
This paper challenges what is the standard account of UK unemployment, namely that the major swings in unemployment … over the past 25 years are due predominantly to movements in the underlying empirical "natural rate of unemployment" (NRU … unemployment are due, instead, to very prolonged after-effects of persistent (transitory but long-lasting) shocks. We argue that (a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763790