The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as ‘ ‘ chain reactions’’ of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of … construct aggregate measures of unemployment responses to temporary and permanent shocks. These measures are temporal (depicting …

This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which … unemployment movements are attributed largely to changes in the long-run equilibrium unemployment rate and (b) the chain …-reaction perspective, in which unemployment movements are viewed as the outcome of the interplay between labor market shocks and prolonged …

This paper presents a reappraisal of unemployment movements in the European Union. Our analysis is based on the chain … reaction theory of unemployment, which focuses on (a) the interaction among labor market adjustment processes, (b) the … growth drivers. Estimating a system of labor market equations for a panel of EU countries, we derive the dynamic unemployment …

This paper provides a critique of the "unemployment invariance hypothesis," according to which the behavior of the … labor market ensures that the long-run unemployment rate is independent of the size of the capital stock, productivity, and … equilibrating mechanisms to ensure unemployment invariance and that other markets may perform part of the equilibrating process as …

This paper challenges what is the standard account of UK unemployment, namely that the major swings in unemployment … over the past 25 years are due predominantly to movements in the underlying empirical "natural rate of unemployment" (NRU … unemployment are due, instead, to very prolonged after-effects of persistent (transitory but long-lasting) shocks. We argue that (a …

2008-2009 crisis. This paper discusses the efficiency of this type of policy and investigates its impact on unemployment … and employment. There is some evidence that short-time compensation programs stabilize permanent employment and reduce … unemployment during downturns. All in all, it seems that short-time work programs used in the recent downturn had significant …

This paper aims to shed light in the dynamics of Spanish regional unemployment rates and determine the driving forces … of their disparities. The Spanish economy has one of the highest unemployment rates in the EU and is characterised by … severe regional disparities. We apply the chain reaction theory of unemployment according to which the evolution of …

fundamental role in shaping unemployment movements. This role has generally been examined by considering indirect transmission … single-equation unemployment rate models. Here we advocate a different approach. We directly estimate the effects of capital … stock in the labour market by applying the chain reaction theory of unemployment, and we find that capital stock is a major …

The conventional wisdom that inflation and unemployment are unrelated in the long-run implies that these phenomena can … NAIRU. The labour macro literature tries to explain unemployment dynamics and determine the real economic factors that drive … the natural rate of unemployment. We show that the orthodox view that the New Keynesian Phillips curve is vertical in the …

This paper analyses the relation between US inflation and unemployment from the perspective of "frictional growth," a … has not only persistent, but permanent real effects, giving rise to a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. We … the US unemployment and inflation trajectories during the nineties. …