Showing 1 - 10 of 11
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on "frictional growth" describing the … these shocks also generate plausible impulse-responses for unemployment. Although our theory contains no money illusion, no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761764
The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as ‘ ‘ chain reactions’’ of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of … construct aggregate measures of unemployment responses to temporary and permanent shocks. These measures are temporal (depicting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703122
This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which … unemployment movements are attributed largely to changes in the long-run equilibrium unemployment rate and (b) the chain …-reaction perspective, in which unemployment movements are viewed as the outcome of the interplay between labor market shocks and prolonged …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703234
This paper presents a reappraisal of unemployment movements in the European Union. Our analysis is based on the chain … reaction theory of unemployment, which focuses on (a) the interaction among labor market adjustment processes, (b) the … growth drivers. Estimating a system of labor market equations for a panel of EU countries, we derive the dynamic unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703238
This paper aims to shed light in the dynamics of Spanish regional unemployment rates and determine the driving forces … of their disparities. The Spanish economy has one of the highest unemployment rates in the EU and is characterised by … severe regional disparities. We apply the chain reaction theory of unemployment according to which the evolution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703677
We reconsider the central role of the natural rate of unemployment (NRU) in forming policy decisions. We show that the … unemployment rate does not gravitate towards the NRU due to frictional growth, a phenomenon that encapsulates the interplay between … empirical analysis and find that the NRU explains only 33% of the unemployment variation, while frictional growth accounts for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822576
This paper provides a critique of the "unemployment invariance hypothesis," according to which the behavior of the … labor market ensures that the long-run unemployment rate is independent of the size of the capital stock, productivity, and … equilibrating mechanisms to ensure unemployment invariance and that other markets may perform part of the equilibrating process as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822664
We distinguish and assess three fundamental views of the labor market regarding the movements in unemployment: (i) the … that all the short-run fluctuations automatically turn into long-run changes in the unemployment rate. We assert the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763692
This paper challenges what is the standard account of UK unemployment, namely that the major swings in unemployment … over the past 25 years are due predominantly to movements in the underlying empirical "natural rate of unemployment" (NRU … unemployment are due, instead, to very prolonged after-effects of persistent (transitory but long-lasting) shocks. We argue that (a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763790
chain reactions, and provides new evidence on the long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the US. It is argued that … inflation/unemployment responses to money growth shocks. SVAR (structural vector autoregression) and GMM (generalised method of … and real sides of the economy are symbiotic. In the light of the significant and robust long-run inflation-unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005030883