Burks, Stephen V.; Carpenter, Jeffrey P.; Goette, Lorenz; … - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2010
relatively. We test three different theories about observed relative overconfidence. The first theory notes that simple … on 1,016 individuals' relative ability judgments about two cognitive tests rejects the Bayesian model. The second theory … might make this belief worse. Our data also reject this prediction. The third theory is that overconfidence is induced by …