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Climate Variability and International Migration: The Importance of the Agricultural Linkage
Cai, Ruohong; Feng, Shuaizhang; Pytlikova, Mariola; … - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2014
While there is considerable interest in understanding the climate-migration relationship, particularly in the context of concerns about global climatic change, little is known about underlying mechanisms. We analyze a unique and extensive set of panel data characterizing annual bilateral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959642
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Prediction Markets for Economic Forecasting
Snowberg, Erik; Wolfers, Justin; Zitzewitz, Eric - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2012
Prediction markets – markets used to forecast future events – have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of political contests, sporting events, and, occasionally, economic outcomes. This chapter summarizes the latest research on prediction markets in order to further their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252271
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The Internet as a Data Source for Advancement in Social Sciences
Askitas, Nikos; Zimmermann, Klaus F. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2015
. Internet data can successfully be applied to a very wide range of human resource issues including forecasting (e.g. of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011198534
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Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pettenuzzo, Davide; Timmermann, Allan - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2004
This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763710
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Forecasting with Spatial Panel Data
Baltagi, Badi H.; Bresson, Georges; Pirotte, Alain - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2009
This paper compares various forecasts using panel data with spatial error correlation. The true data generating process is assumed to be a simple error component regression model with spatial remainder disturbances of the autoregressive or moving average type. The best linear unbiased predictor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005030892
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On the Estimation and Forecasting of International Migration: How Relevant Is Heterogeneity Across Countries?
Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2005
This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703752
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Partial Identification of the Long-Run Causal Effect of Food Security on Child Health
Millimet, Daniel L.; Roy, Manan - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2013
Food security and obesity represent two of the most significant public health issues. However, little is known about how these issues are intertwined. Here, we assess the causal relationship between food security during early childhood and relatively long-run measures of child health....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960094
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The Dynamics of Food Deprivation and Overall Health: Evidence from the Canadian National Population Health Survey
Veall, Michael R.; McLeod, Logan - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2002
The paper explores whether the responses to food deprivation questions on the longitudinal Canadian National Population Health Survey help explain the links between socio-economic status and health. Transitions in food deprivation status are correlated with changes in health status. While health...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763632
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Food Insecurity and Insufficiency at Low Levels of Food Expenditures
Gundersen, Craig; Ribar, David C. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2005
This study uses data from the December 2003 Food Security Supplement of the CPS to compare the food insufficiency and insecurity measures with objective measures of food expenditures and objective and subjective measures of food needs. The study examines the general relationships between these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763718
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Africa’s Education Enigma? The Nigerian Story
Uwaifo Oyelere, Ruth Osarenti Oyelere nee Uwaifo - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2007
In the last two decades, the social and economic benefits of formal education in Sub-Saharan Africa have been debated. Anecdotal evidence points to low returns to education in Africa. Unfortunately, there is limited econometric evidence to support these claims at the micro level. In this study,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822041