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This paper compares various forecasts using panel data with spatial error correlation. The true data generating process is assumed to be a simple error component regression model with spatial remainder disturbances of the autoregressive or moving average type. The best linear unbiased predictor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005030892
This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703752
This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763710
Italy do relatively poorly. Yet the explanation for this ranking – one that holds even after adjustment for GDP and socio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884101
differences in (short-term) GDP fluctuations between origin countries and U.S. states, and perhaps to (long-term) trend GDP … differences as well. More specifically, short-run GDP fluctuations pull less-educated male immigrants into certain U.S. states …, whereas GDP trends push less-educated male immigrants out of their countries of origin. Effects for less-educated women are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279271
The World Health Organization (WHO) reports that malaria, a parasitic disease transmitted by mosquitoes, causes over 300 million episodes of "acute illness" and more than one million deaths annually. Most of the deaths occur in poor countries of the tropics, and especially sub- Saharan Africa....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763773
-being responds negatively (positively) to an increase in the GDP (unemployment rate) of their home country. That is, we originally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734424
Prediction markets – markets used to forecast future events – have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of political contests, sporting events, and, occasionally, economic outcomes. This chapter summarizes the latest research on prediction markets in order to further their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252271
. Internet data can successfully be applied to a very wide range of human resource issues including forecasting (e.g. of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011198534
This paper considers testing the hypothesis that errors in a panel data model are weakly cross sectionally dependent, using the exponent of cross-sectional dependence α, introduced recently in Bailey, Kapetanios and Pesaran (2012). It is shown that the implicit null of the CD test depends on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990929