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Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation

Imbens, Guido W.; Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2008

Many empirical questions in economics and other social sciences depend on causal effects of programs or policies. In the last two decades much research has been done on the econometric and statistical analysis of the effects of such programs or treatments. This recent theoretical literature has...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822300

Causal Effects of Monetary Shocks: Semiparametric Conditional Independence Tests with a Multinomial Propensity Score

Angrist, Joshua; Kuersteiner, Guido M. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2008

effects is based on a selection-on-observables assumption, non-causality amounts to the conditional independence of outcomes … a time series setting. This leads to a generalized definition of Sims (1980) causality. A technical contribution is the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822414

Commuting Time and Labour Supply: A Causal Effect?

Giménez, José Ignacio; Molina, José Alberto - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2011

We analyze the causal effect of the length of the worker’s commute on worker's productivity, by examining whether commuting time has any effect on worker's labour market supply. Using the Spanish Time Use Survey 2002-03, our GMM/IV estimation yields a positive causal impact of commuting time...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855350

Integrating Personality Psychology into Economics

Heckman, James J. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2011

This paper reviews the problems and potential benefits of integrating personality psychology into economics. Economists have much to learn from and contribute to personality psychology.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009278194

Causal Analysis after Haavelmo

Heckman, James J.; Pinto, Rodrigo - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2013

Haavelmo's seminal 1943 paper is the first rigorous treatment of causality. In it, he distinguished the definition of … Acyclic Graphs (DAG) used in one influential recent approach to causality (Pearl, 2000) and in the related literature on … causality, a central contribution of Haavelmo (1944). In general cases, DAGs cannot be used to analyze models for simultaneous …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010766377

Education and Cancer Risk

Leuven, Edwin; Plug, Erik; Rønning, Marte - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2014

There exists a strong educational gradient in cancer risk, which has been documented in a wide range of populations. Yet relatively little is known about the extent to which education is causally linked to cancer incidence and mortality. This paper exploits a large social experiment where an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744655

Robust Confidence Intervals for Average Treatment Effects under Limited Overlap

Rothe, Christoph - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2015

Estimators of average treatment effects under unconfounded treatment assignment are known to become rather imprecise if there is limited overlap in the covariate distributions between the treatment groups. But such limited overlap can also have a detrimental effect on inference, and lead for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011125869

Neighbourhood Effects Research at a Crossroads: Ten Challenges for Future Research

van Ham, Maarten; Manley, David - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2012

Neighbourhood effects research is at a crossroads since current theoretical and empirical approaches do not seem to be moving the debate forward. In this paper, we present a set of ten challenges as a basis for a new research agenda which will give new direction to the neighbourhood effects...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011085106

Policy Discontinuity and Duration Outcomes

den Berg, Gerard J. van; Bozio, Antoine; Costa Dias, Monica - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2014

Causal effects of a policy change on hazard rates of a duration outcome variable are not identified from a comparison of spells before and after the policy change, if there is unobserved heterogeneity in the effects and no model structure is imposed. We develop a discontinuity approach that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959649

Matching Methods in Practice: Three Examples

Imbens, Guido W. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2014

There is a large theoretical literature on methods for estimating causal effects under unconfoundedness, exogeneity, or selection-on-observables type assumptions using matching or propensity score methods. Much of this literature is highly technical and has not made inroads into empirical...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884265