Between April and July 1994 Rwanda experienced a tremendous wave of inter-ethnic violence that caused at least 500 …,000 deaths. Combining birth history data drawn from the 2000 Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey with prefecture …

Rwanda in the early 90s, and using micro data to carry out econometric analysis, this paper finds that households and …

Prediction markets – markets used to forecast future events – have been used to accurately forecast the outcome of …

This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … estimator exhibit the superior forecast performance, (iii) the fixed effects estimators outperform GMM and other instrumental …

This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a … Bayesian estimation and prediction procedure that allows for the possibility of new breaks over the forecast horizon, taking …

. Internet data can successfully be applied to a very wide range of human resource issues including forecasting (e.g. of …

and establishes empirically, that geographical variations in natural land productivity and their impact on the return to …