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Global Business Cycles: Convergence or Decoupling?
Kose, M. Ayhan; Otrok, Christopher; Prasad, Eswar - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2008
This paper analyzes the evolution of the degree of global cyclical interdependence over the period 1960-2005. We categorize the 106 countries in our sample into three groups – industrial countries, emerging markets, and other developing economies. Using a dynamic factor model, we then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566406
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China's Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America
Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, Hashem; Rebucci, Alessandro - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2011
vividly illustrated. This paper investigates how changes in trade linkages between China, Latin America, and the rest of the … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … to Latin America and the rest of emerging Asia (excluding China and India) GDP has not undergone any significant change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009225765
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Real Wages and the Business Cycle in Germany
Marczak, Martyna; Beissinger, Thomas - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2010
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008678691
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Asymmetric Labor Market Institutions in the EMU and the Volatility of Inflation and Unemployment Differentials
Abbritti, Mirko; Mueller, Andreas I. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2012
How does the asymmetry of labor market institutions affect the adjustment of a currency union to shocks? To answer this question, this paper sets up a dynamic currency union model with monopolistic competition and sticky prices, hiring frictions and real wage rigidities. In our analysis, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279349
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How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?
Kose, M. Ayhan; Prasad, Eswar E.; Terrones, Marco E. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2003
This paper examines the impact of rising trade and financial integration on international business cycle comovement among a large group of industrial and developing countries. The results provide at best limited support for the conventional wisdom that globalization has increased the degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762165
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The Finnish Great Depression: From Russia with Love
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Mendoza, Enrique G.; Tesar, Linda L. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2009
During the period 1991-93, Finland experienced the deepest economic downturn in an industrialized country since the 1930s. We argue that the culprit behind this Great Depression was the collapse of Finnish trade with the Soviet Union, because it induced a costly restructuring of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566654
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Exchange Rate Volatility Effects on the German Labour Market: A Survey of Recent Results and Extensions
Buscher, Herbert S.; Mueller, Claudia - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 1999
In this paper, a survey on theoretically expected and empirically proved impacts of exchange rate volatility is given. With regard to the West German unemployment, the effects of volatility are empirically analyzed using three different volatility measures and four country groups. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566669
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Output-Employment Relationship across Sectors: A Long- versus Short-Run Perspective
Sahin, Afsin; Tansel, Aysit; Berument, Hakan - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2013
This paper investigates the nature of the output-employment relationship by using the Turkish quarterly data for the period 1988-2008. Even if we fail to find a long-run relationship between aggregate output and total employment, there are long-run relationships for the aggregate output with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884236
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The Dynamics of Entrepreneurship: Hysteresis, Business Cycles and Government Policy
Congregado, Emilio; Golpe, Antonio A.; Parker, Simon C. - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2009
This paper estimates an unobserved components model to explore the macro dynamics of entrepreneurship in Spain and the US. We ask whether entrepreneurship exhibits hysteresis, defined as a macro dynamic structure in which cyclical fluctuations have persistent effects on the natural rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005233799
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The Impact of Labor Market Reforms on Capital Flows, Wages and Unemployment
Beissinger, Thomas - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2001
The paper contributes to the globalization debate by scrutinizing the international spillover effects which are provoked if a single country reduces the generosity of the unemployment compensation system or weakens labor union power. For this purpose a two-country model with imperfect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566676