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during a 48 month period, from the month after the 2006 elections (October 2006) up to September 2010. Our results show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009325433
It is widely believed that the current recession has soured public attitudes towards immigration. But most existing studies are cross sectional and can shed little light on the economy-wide forces that shift public opinion on immigration. In this paper I use the six rounds of the European Social...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010783910
Public opinion influences politicians, and therefore influences public policy decisions. What are the roles of self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822441
This paper examines how violence in the Second Intifada influences Palestinian public opinion. Using micro data from a series of opinion polls linked to data on fatalities, we find that Israeli violence against Palestinians leads them to support more radical factions and more radical attitudes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005822907
How did post-communist transformations affect people's perceptions of their economic and political systems? We model a pseudo-panel with 89 country-year clusters, based on 13 countries observed between 1991 and 2004, to identify the macro and institutional drivers of the public opinion. Our main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009150624
This paper uses both subjective well-being and survey experimental data to analyze how people's positional concerns regarding income and goods vary with age. The subjective well-being approach is mainly based on German panel data for the period 1984-2009 (German Socio-Economic Panel), while the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009646308
An unresolved question in political science is how economic downturns affect citizens' economic left-right preferences. Existing observational studies fail to isolate the effect of economic conditions and the effect of elite framing of these conditions. We therefore designed a survey experiment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744670
Internet effect between national and local elections to a crowding out of national but not local newspapers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279358
We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the … basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy … of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This election is particularly interesting both because of innovations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005233791
-tax policies that do not harm their relative chances in the elections. In the experiment, we find that lobbying is never successful …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008742954