Showing 1 - 10 of 110
This paper examines the possibility of unit roots in the presence of endogenously determined multiple structural breaks in the total, female and male labour force participation rates (LFPR) for Australia, Canada and the USA. We extend the procedure of Gil-Alana (2008) for single structural break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009359856
This paper provides a novel approach to forecasting time series subject to discrete structural breaks. We propose a Bayesian estimation and prediction procedure that allows for the possibility of new breaks over the forecast horizon, taking account of the size and duration of past breaks (if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763710
There is a large theoretical literature on methods for estimating causal effects under unconfoundedness, exogeneity, or selection-on-observables type assumptions using matching or propensity score methods. Much of this literature is highly technical and has not made inroads into empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884265
Causal effects of a policy change on hazard rates of a duration outcome variable are not identified from a comparison of spells before and after the policy change, if there is unobserved heterogeneity in the effects and no model structure is imposed. We develop a discontinuity approach that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959649
In this paper, we exploit the Swedish compulsory schooling reform in order to estimate the causal effect of parental education on son's outcomes. We use data from the Swedish enlistment register on the entire population of males and focus on outcomes such as cognitive skills, non-cognitive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279264
emergence of systematic policy evaluation, with its distinct focus on the establishment of causality. By contrast to the natural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005233833
This paper reviews the problems and potential benefits of integrating personality psychology into economics. Economists have much to learn from and contribute to personality psychology.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009278194
If labour market policies aimed at people with disabilities are effective, we should observe no significant difference in labour market outcomes between disable and non-disable individuals. This paper examines the impact of disability status on labour market outcomes using matching methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761627
A large part of the recent literature on program evaluation has focused on estimation of the average effect of the treatment under assumptions of unconfoundedness or ignorability following the seminal work by Rubin (1974) and Rosenbaum and Rubin (1983). In many cases however, researchers are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005761749
parameters are defined and identified to address specific policy problems. Economists embrace a scientific approach to causality …. Anticipated and realized subjective and objective outcomes are distinguished. Models for simultaneous causality are developed. The … paper contrasts the Neyman-Rubin model of causality with the econometric approach. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703376