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The last decades have seen a rapidly growing interest in foresight methodology. Methods have been developed in corporate and governmental communication exercises often labelled technology foresight. In reality, these foresights have often drifted into processes of social change, since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005644676
There are strong life cycle patterns in practically all human behavior as well as in resources and capabilities. Variations in the age structure therefore affect all aspects of the aggregate economy. Swedish post-war development exhibit patterns of age structure effects on saving, growth,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196949
Among the most central questions at the intersection of demography and economics is the impact of large scale demographic processes on long-run economic performance. The classical version of this inquiry, occupying thinkers from Malthus towards those from the mid-to-late 20th century, had to do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190486
Demographic projections of age structure provide the best information available on long-term human resources and demand. In current data fairly robust correlations with GDP and GDP growth have been discovered. In this paper we use these two facts and study the forecasting properties of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005419244