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Starting from a day-to-day model on hotel specific guest nights we obtain an integer-valued moving average model by cross-sectional and temporal aggregation. The two parameters of the aggregate model reflect the daily mean check-in and the daily check-out probability. Letting the parameters be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207274
This thesis consists of four self-contained papers related to banking, credit markets and financial stability. Paper [I] presents a credit market model and finds, using an agent based modeling approach, that credit crunches have a tendency to occur; even when credit markets are almost entirely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010538873
This note defines the asymmetric count data, first order moving average model and gives some of its basic properties. A brief account of conditional least squares estimation of unknown parameters is also given.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010611656
A model to account for the long memory property in a count data framework <p> is proposed and applied to high frequency stock transactions data. <p> The unconditional and conditional first and second order moments are <p> given. The CLS and FGLS estimators are discussed. In its empirical <p> application to...</p></p></p></p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005198001
The integer-valued AR(1) model is generalized to encompass some of the more likely features of economic time series of count data. The generalizations come at the price of loosing exact distributional properties. For most specifications the first and second order both conditional and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005198011
The asymmetric moving average model (asMA) is extended to allow for asymmetric quadratic conditional heteroskedasticity (asQGARCH). The asymmetric parametrization of the conditional variance encompasses the quadratic GARCH model of Sentana (1995). We introduce a framework for testing asymmetries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771222
We argue that the practise of valuing the portfolio is important for the calculation of the V aR. In particular, the seller (buyer) of an asset does not face horizontal demand (supply) curves. We propose a partially new approach for incorporating this fact in the V aR and in an empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005424007
The paper studies two approaches to modelling conditional skewness in a nonlinear model for stock returns. It is found that a normal distribution can be rejected. A log-generalized gamma distribution with one time-varying density parameter, and in particular a Pearson IV specification with three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005424011
The daily number of occupied hotel rooms in three large Swedish cities is modelled by an integer-valued and binomial autoregression. The model includes the capacity constraint and price variables are incorporated through the parameters of the model. The model implies a duration of hotel visit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005424022
This thesis comprises four papers concerning modelling of financial count data. Paper [1], [2] <p> and [3] advance the integer-valued moving average model (INMA), a special case of integer-valued <p> autoregressive moving average (INARMA) model class, and apply the models to the number of <p> stock...</p></p></p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651931