By using money management, an investor may determine the optimal leverage factor to apply on each trade, for maximizing the profitability of investing. Research suggests that the stopping of losses may increase the profitability of a trading strategy when returns follow momentum. This paper...

In the estimation of risk measures such as Value at Risk and Expected shortfall relatively short estimation windows are typically used rendering the estimation error a possibly non-negligible component. In this paper we build upon previous results for the Value at Risk and discuss how the...

This thesis comprises four papers concerning risk prediction. Paper [I] suggests a nonlinear and multivariate time series model framework that enables the study of simultaneity in returns and in volatilities, as well as asymmetric effects arising from shocks. Using daily data 2000-2006 for the...