Showing 1 - 10 of 414
Time-inconsistency of no-bailout policies can create incentives for banks to take excessive risks and generate endogenous crises when the government cannot commit. However, at the outbreak of financial problems, usually the government is uncertain about their nature, and hence it may delay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459895
aggregate risk. We propose a theory to explain these risk exposures. We study a financial accelerator model where entrepreneurs … inefficiently high risk exposure for entrepreneurs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481941
This paper studies optimal fiscal policy in an economy where heterogeneous agents with uncertain lifetimes coexist. We show that some plausible social welfare functions lead to time-inconsistent optimal plans, and we suggest restrictions on social preferences that avoid the problem. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477491
We study the effects of changes in uncertainty about future fiscal policy on aggregate economic activity. Fiscal deficits and public debt have risen sharply in the wake of the financial crisis. While these developments make fiscal consolidation inevitable, there is considerable uncertainty about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461340
risk. These connections lead to two different network structures. In a clustered network groups of financial institutions … expectations are low, they do not roll over the debt and there is systemic risk in that all institutions are early liquidated. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462480
The direct financial impact of the financial crisis has been to deal a heavy blow to investment-based pensions; many workers lost a substantial portion of their retirement saving. The financial sector implosion produced an economic crisis for the rest of the economy via high unemployment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461524
This paper explores optimal fiscal policy in an overlapping-generations general-equilibrium model under uncertainty and the impact on optimal policy of the introduction of a type of policy stickiness intended to account for the stylized fact that major reforms happen infrequently. In general,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471764
expected exchange rate depreciations (appreciations) for high (low) interest rate currencies, suggesting that disaster risk is … priced in currency markets. To study the price of disaster risk, we propose a simple structural model that includes both … Gaussian and disaster risk and can be estimated even in samples that do not contain disasters. Estimating the model over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463588
-generational transmission of wealth. Financial markets are incomplete, exposing agents to both labor income and capital income risk. We show … that the stationary wealth distribution is a Pareto distribution in the right tail and that it is capital income risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463917
heterogeneous attitudes towards crash risk. The less crash-averse insure the more crash-averse through the options markets that … literature: the tendency of stock index options to overpredict volatility and jump risk, the Jackwerth (2000) implicit pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470161