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Time-inconsistency of no-bailout policies can create incentives for banks to take excessive risks and generate endogenous crises when the government cannot commit. However, at the outbreak of financial problems, usually the government is uncertain about their nature, and hence it may delay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459895
Uncertainty is a ubiquitous concern emphasized by policymakers. We study how uncertainty affects decision-making by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). We distinguish between the notion of Fed-managed uncertainty vis-a-vis uncertainty that emanates from within the economy and which the Fed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436980
This paper discusses the nature of the uncertainty faced by central banks and considers three approaches to dealing with uncertainty(1) formal optimization models and robust rules based on such models; (2) informal rules like the Taylor rule and inflation targeting; and (3) a case by case...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468728
aggregate risk. We propose a theory to explain these risk exposures. We study a financial accelerator model where entrepreneurs … inefficiently high risk exposure for entrepreneurs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481941
This paper characterizes a robust optimal policy rule in a simple forward-looking model, when the policymaker faces uncertainty about model parameters and shock processes. We show that the robust optimal policy rule is likely to involve a stronger response of the interest rate to fluctuations in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466729
This paper presents a simple synthesis of Keynesian, monetary, and portfolio approaches to macroeconomic theory under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478158
risk. These connections lead to two different network structures. In a clustered network groups of financial institutions … expectations are low, they do not roll over the debt and there is systemic risk in that all institutions are early liquidated. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462480
this risk is hedged through nominal assets rather than through equities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466454
Exchange rate policies depend on portfolio choices, and portfolio choices depend on anticipated exchange rate policies. This opens the door to multiple equilibria in policy regimes. We construct a model in which agents optimally choose to denominate their assets and liabilities either in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467862
and nominal bond risks in the presence of risk-averse investors. In our model, low credibility governments inflate during … inflation, investors require risk premia on nominal debt, making nominal debt issuance costly for low credibility governments … significantly larger nominal bond risk premia and borrow less in local currency …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456087