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shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic … variation in risk premia over time, are observationally equivalent to preference shocks. An increase in the perceived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463250
Time-inconsistency of no-bailout policies can create incentives for banks to take excessive risks and generate endogenous crises when the government cannot commit. However, at the outbreak of financial problems, usually the government is uncertain about their nature, and hence it may delay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459895
a simple extension of the long-run risk model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480268
Assessing the importance of uninsurable wage risk for individual financial choices faces two challenges. First, the … identification of the marginal effect requires a measure of at least one component of risk that cannot be diversified or avoided …. Moreover, measures of uninsurable wage risk must vary over time to eliminate unobserved heterogeneity. Second, evaluating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455797
aggregate risk. We propose a theory to explain these risk exposures. We study a financial accelerator model where entrepreneurs … inefficiently high risk exposure for entrepreneurs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481941
We study a competitive credit market in which lenders with partial knowledge of loan repayment use one of three decision criteria - maximization of expected utility, maximin, or minimax regret - to make lending decisions. Lenders allocate endowments between loans and a safe asset, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464269
This paper characterizes a robust optimal policy rule in a simple forward-looking model, when the policymaker faces uncertainty about model parameters and shock processes. We show that the robust optimal policy rule is likely to involve a stronger response of the interest rate to fluctuations in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466729
risk. These connections lead to two different network structures. In a clustered network groups of financial institutions … expectations are low, they do not roll over the debt and there is systemic risk in that all institutions are early liquidated. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462480
We propose a dynamic competitive equilibrium model of limit order trading, based on the premise that investors cannot monitor markets continuously. We study how limit order markets absorb transient liquidity shocks, which occur when a significant fraction of investors lose their willingness and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463640
and volatility on investment strategies. Using the event-risk framework of Duffie, Pan, and Singleton (2000), we provide … analytical solutions to the optimal portfolio problem. Event risk dramatically affects the optimal strategy. An investor facing … event risk is less willing to take leveraged or short positions. The investor acts as if some portion of his wealth may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469608