Showing 1 - 10 of 419
Time-inconsistency of no-bailout policies can create incentives for banks to take excessive risks and generate endogenous crises when the government cannot commit. However, at the outbreak of financial problems, usually the government is uncertain about their nature, and hence it may delay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459895
aggregate risk. We propose a theory to explain these risk exposures. We study a financial accelerator model where entrepreneurs … inefficiently high risk exposure for entrepreneurs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481941
risk. These connections lead to two different network structures. In a clustered network groups of financial institutions … expectations are low, they do not roll over the debt and there is systemic risk in that all institutions are early liquidated. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462480
The direct financial impact of the financial crisis has been to deal a heavy blow to investment-based pensions; many workers lost a substantial portion of their retirement saving. The financial sector implosion produced an economic crisis for the rest of the economy via high unemployment and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461524
-side uncertainty. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and business cycle … to illustrate how multiple distinct risk propagation channels account for these differences. Supply and demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481034
expected exchange rate depreciations (appreciations) for high (low) interest rate currencies, suggesting that disaster risk is … priced in currency markets. To study the price of disaster risk, we propose a simple structural model that includes both … Gaussian and disaster risk and can be estimated even in samples that do not contain disasters. Estimating the model over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463588
Uncertainty appears to jump up after major shocks like the Cuban Missile crisis, the assassination of JFK, the OPEC I oil-price shock and the 9/11 terrorist attack. This paper offers a structural framework to analyze the impact of these uncertainty shocks. I build a model with a time varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465265
heterogeneous attitudes towards crash risk. The less crash-averse insure the more crash-averse through the options markets that … literature: the tendency of stock index options to overpredict volatility and jump risk, the Jackwerth (2000) implicit pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470161
Monetary policy decisions tend to be based on systematic analysis of alternative policy choices and their associated macroeconomic impacts: this is science. Fiscal policy choices, in contrast, spring from unsystematic speculation, grounded more in politics than economics: this is alchemy. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462148
Financial innovation and overconfidence about asset values and the riskiness of new financial products were important factors behind the U.S. credit crisis. We show that a boom-bust cycle in debt, asset prices and consumption characterizes the equilibrium dynamics of a model with a collateral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462633