Showing 1 - 10 of 292
shocks to aggregate uncertainty, I introduce a small, time-varying risk of economic disaster in a standard real business … risk of disaster does not affect the path of macroeconomic aggregates - a "separation theorem" between macroeconomic … variation in risk premia over time, are observationally equivalent to preference shocks. An increase in the perceived …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463250
a simple extension of the long-run risk model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480268
, economic uncertainty, and risk premia influence firms' financing and default policies. Countercyclical fluctuations in risk …. These comovements generate large credit risk premia for investment grade firms, which helps address the "credit spread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462506
The question of whether and how mutual fund managers provide valuable services for their clients motivates one of the largest literatures in finance. One candidate explanation is that funds process information about future asset values and use that information to invest in high-valued assets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463199
This paper develops an overlapping generations model of optimal rebalancing where agents differ in age and risk … directions, an aggregate risk tolerance effect that depends on the distribution of wealth, and an intertemporal hedging effect …. After a negative macroeconomic shock, relatively risk tolerant investors sell risky assets while more risk averse investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452998
shock captures systematic risk, and that exposure to this shock helps price the cross section of stock returns including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458455
aggregate risk premia. Building on the idea that corporate debt, while safe in normal times, is exposed to the risk of economic … depression, this paper embeds a trade-off theory of capital structure into a real business cycle model with a small, time …-varying risk of large economic disaster. This simple feature generates large, volatile and countercyclical credit spreads as well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461632
Is there a trade-off between fluctuations and growth? The empirical evidence is mixed, with some studies (Kormendi and Meguire (1985)) finding a positive relationship, while others (Ramey and Ramey (1995)) finding the a negative one. Our objective in this paper is to understand how fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471733
This paper studies the aggregate implications of imperfect risk-sharing implied by a class of New Keynesian models with … idiosyncratic income risk and incomplete financial markets. The models in this class can be equivalently represented as an economy … representative-agent economy to perform counterfactuals. We find that deviations from perfect risk-sharing were an important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479980
Uncertainty appears to jump up after major shocks like the Cuban Missile crisis, the assassination of JFK, the OPEC I oil-price shock and the 9/11 terrorist attack. This paper offers a structural framework to analyze the impact of these uncertainty shocks. I build a model with a time varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465265