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The paper examines if real stock returns in four countries are consistent with consumption-based models of international asset pricing. The paper finds that ex-ante real stock returns exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and that these fluctuations cannot be explained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476685
The paper illustrates how one may assess our comprehensive uncertainty about the various relations in the entire chain from human activity to climate change. Using a modified version of the RICE model of the global economy and climate, we perform Monte Carlo simulations, where full sets of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464221
This paper presents a dynamic model of a public pension fund's choice of portfolio risk. Optimal portfolio allocations … public pension fund management, we find evidence that funds chose greater overall asset - liability portfolio risk following …, pension plans take more risk when they have greater representation by plan participants on their Boards of Trustees …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462201
A key criticism of the existing empirical literature on the risk-return relation relates to the relatively small amount …, measures of conditional mean and conditional volatility--and ultimately the risk-return relation itself--will be misspecified … that three new factors, a "volatility," "risk premium," and "real" factor, contain important information about one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467202
Investor confidence and risk tolerance are important concepts that investors are constantly trying to gauge. Yet these … changes in demand and fundamentals perceived by all investors, and a second that reflects changes in the relative risk … tolerance of institutional investors over and above that of domestics. The latter component, changes in relative risk tolerance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468537
international capital flows that highlights the interplay between diminishing returns, production risk and sovereign risk. We show … that in the presence of reasonable diminishing returns and production risk, the probability that international crises occur …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470955
asset demands and prices. International asset pricing models with mean-variance investors predict that an asset's risk … empirical evidence shows that a country's risk premium depends on its covariance with the world market portfolio and that there … is some evidence that exchange rate risk affects expected returns. However, the theoretical asset pricing literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469720
risk-sharing. General equilibrium models and consumption data tend to find that the costs are small, typically less than … higher variability of stocks, and/or (b) the higher degree of risk aversion required to reconcile an international equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473454
Within the context of conditional asset allocation strategies, this paper explores the implications of the low correlations of the emerging market returns with developed market returns and the relatively high degree predictability of emerging countries' returns. It is well known that low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474311
This paper empirically examines multifactor asset pricing models for the returns and expected returns on eighteen national equity markets. The factors are chosen to measure global economic risks. Although previous studies do not reject the unconditional mean- variance efficiency of a world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474312