Showing 1 - 10 of 40
The foreign exchange risk premium in an exchange rate target zone regime with devaluation/realignment risks is derived … devaluation/realignment risk, is taken into account. The risk premium is then the sum of two separate risk premia, arising from … real and nominal exchange rate premia are considered. The real and nominal risk premia from movements within the band are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475561
We study the problem of a policymaker who seeks to set policy optimally in an economy where the true economic structure is unobserved, and he optimally learns from observations of the economy. This is a classic problem of learning and control, variants of which have been studied in the past, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465237
exchange rates -- determine the risk characteristics of nominal assets, and how these risk characteristics determine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476246
This paper examines portfolio choice and asset pricing when some assets are nontraded, for instance when a country cannot trade claims to its output on world capital markets, when a government cannot trade claims to future tax revenues, or when an individual cannot trade claims to his future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476286
We study the design of optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. We use a Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) approach to study policy design, approximating the uncertainty by different discrete modes in a Markov chain, and by taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464755
This paper develops a theory of the international trade pattern in risky assets by applying the law of comparative … autarky prices. The autarky price of an asset is high if the autarky real interest rate is low, or if the asset's autarky risk … measure (the product of the risk premium and the asset price) is low. It is examined how autarky interest rates and risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476665
The optimal weights on indicators in models with partial information about the state of the economy and forward-looking variables are derived and interpreted, both for equilibria under discretion and under commitment. The private sector is assumed to have information about the state of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470469
The optimal weights on indicators in models with partial information about the state of the economy and forward-looking variables are derived and interpreted, both for equilibria under discretion and under commitment. An example of optimal monetary policy with a partially observable potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470783
The so-called P* model is frequently used or referred to in discussions of monetary targeting. This gives the impression that the P* model might provide some rationale for monetary targeting or for the monetary reference value used by the Eurosystem. The P* model implies that inflation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471029
The paper discusses several issues related to how monetary policy should be conducted in an era of price stability. Low inflation (with base drift in the price level) and price-level stability (without such base drift) are compared, and a suitable loss function (corresponding to flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471258