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Uncertainty is a ubiquitous concern emphasized by policymakers. We study how uncertainty affects decision-making by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). We distinguish between the notion of Fed-managed uncertainty vis-a-vis uncertainty that emanates from within the economy and which the Fed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436980
the Markowitz mean-variance framework to derive estimates of the pre-tax, real risk-return tradeoff curve currently facing … an investor in the U.S. capital markets. Some of the major findings are: 1) Bills are the cornerstone of any low-risk … investment strategy. The minimum-risk portfolio has a mean real rate of return of zero and a standard deviation of about 1%. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478417
This paper presents an explicit model of portfolio demand and uses it to show how the rate of inflation and its variances affect the real prices of land and of common stock. The analysis is thus an extension of two of the author's earlier papers which studied how the interaction of inflation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478609
important lenders' portfolio behavior can be in bringing about the adjustment of interest rates which Fisher's theory associates … with expected inflation. Given the importance of this adjustment for questions of both monetary theory and monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478903
these securities represent the only true long-run hedge against inflation risk. CPI-linked bonds make possible the creation … indexation of benefits in private pension plans. A firm could hedge the risk associated with a long-term indexed liability by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476264
also find that long-short positions in equities play a dominant role in the effective hedging of inflation risk over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460524
asset prices and corporate default risk. Our model includes two empirically grounded nominal frictions: fixed nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480968
: Economic risk is high relative to political risk, markets are sufficiently incomplete, and there exists a rent-less policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464868
This paper presents a model of monetary policy in which a rise in inflation raises uncertainty about future inflation. When inflation is low, there is a consensus that the monetary authority will try to keep it low. When inflation is high, policymakers face a dilemma: they would like to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475813
I present and solve the problem of a producer who faces costs of acquiring, absorbing, and processing information. I establish a series of theoretical results describing the producer's behavior. First, I find the conditions under which she prefers to set a plan for the price she charges, or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466851