Showing 1 - 10 of 215
a simple extension of the long-run risk model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480268
overconfident about the signal. We find that, because overconfident traders introduce an additional source of risk, rational … bonds are an essential accompaniment of equity investment, as they serve to hedge this "sentiment risk." …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465249
conditional equity premium and risk-free rate in equilibrium. Our empirical analysis shows that the equity premium appears to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616642
We study the effects of changes in uncertainty about future fiscal policy on aggregate economic activity. Fiscal deficits and public debt have risen sharply in the wake of the financial crisis. While these developments make fiscal consolidation inevitable, there is considerable uncertainty about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461340
factors does not improve forecast power. Portfolio optimization helps for risk control, but the different covariance models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471761
It depends. If volatility fluctuates in a forecastable way, then volatility forecasts are useful for risk management …; hence the interest in volatility forecastability in the risk management literature. Volatility forecastability, however … volatility forecastability decays quickly with horizon. Volatility forecastability, although clearly of relevance for risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471968
The Euler equations derived from a broad range of intertemporal asset pricing models, together with the first two unconditional moments of asset returns, imply a lower bound on the volatility of the intertemporal marginal rate of substitution. We develop and implement statistical tests of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474862
exchange rates -- determine the risk characteristics of nominal assets, and how these risk characteristics determine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476246
with low income uncertainty; for the high income risk worker, equity exposure rises until retirement. We also evaluate how … differences in social security benefits can influence retirement risk management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462970
help to explain the enormous counter-cyclical volatility of aggregate risk compensation in financial markets. To answer … these intermittent re-balancers more than double the effect of aggregate shocks on the time variation in risk premia by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463268