This paper asks whether bonanzas (surges) in net capital inflows increase the probability of banking crises and whether this is necessarily through a lending boom mechanism. A fixed effects regression analysis indicates that a baseline bonanza, identified as a surge of one standard deviation...

This paper explores whether the level of financial integration of banks in a country increases the incidence of systemic banking crises. The paper uses a de facto proxy for financial integration based on network statistics of banks participating in the global market of interbank syndicated...

Este trabajo analiza el desempeño fiscal de Bolivia a la luz de la expansión y posterior contracción de los precios internacionales de los hidrocarburos entre 2005 y 2009. Se evalúa dicho desempeño desde el punto de vista de la posición estructural de la economía, es decir, descontando...

In this paper we argue that the main difference between the crises is their degree of anticipation. In particular the Asian crises was widely unanticipated, while the Argentinean and Brazil crises were anticipated.

Los sistemas de garantía son instrumentos que tratan de mitigar las disfunciones que genera la exigencia de garantías a los empresarios en las operaciones crediticias. En este trabajo se diagnostican los efectos no deseados que provocan las reglas internacionales en el acceso al financiamiento...

This paper analyzes the macroeconomic impact of China’s 2009-2010 fiscal stimulus package by simulating a dynamic general equilibrium multi-country model of the world economy, showing that the effects on China’s economic activity are sizeable: absent fiscal stimulus China’s GDP would be...

There is widespread concern that recent increases in international food prices may have significant effects on domestic food prices and inflation. This note assesses the impact of the recent food price shock on food, non-food and consumer inflation in the countries of Latin American and the...