Zambia's strong dependence on copper exports has suppressed other tradables sectors, indicative of a Dutch disease phenomenon. The current copper crisis will have strong economic effects, possibly reversing such Dutch disease effects. We use a computable general equilibrium model built around a...

In computable general equilibrium (CGE) models, it is typically assumed that agricultural resources are smoothly substitutable in neoclassical production or cost functions, with flexible wages, rents and prices generating market equilibrium in a setting with full resource employment. 1 Although...

In Uganda, as in much of sub-Saharan Africa, poverty is concentrated in rural areas. Because agriculture accounts for a large share of incomes for these households, policies and external shocks that affect agriculture, including shifts in world prices, changes in agricultural productivity, and...

This paper assesses the implications of large-scale investments in biofuels for growth and income distribution. We find that biofuels investment enhances growth and poverty reduction despite some displacement of food crops by biofuels. Overall, the biofuel investment trajectory analyzed...

We use a gendered dynamic CGE model to assess the implications of biofuels expansion in a low-income, land-abundant setting. Mozambique is chosen as a representative case. We compare scenarios with different gender employment intensities in producing jatropha feedstock for biodiesel. Under all...

CGE Analysis; Development Strategy; sub-Saharan Africa;

Agricultural growth in Africa has accelerated, yet most of this growth has been driven by land expansion. Land expansion potential is reaching its limits, urging governments to shift towards a green revolution type of productivity-led growth. Given the huge public investments required, this...

Much of the debate over potential wage changes under a North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) reflects views about the links between output prices and factor prices as described in the Stolper-Samuelson theorem. But the Stolper-Samuelson theorem does not fully describe the likely labour...