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Does Policy Communication During Covid Work?

Coibion, Olivier - 2020

Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal and monetary policy responses to the crisis affects households' expectations. We provide random subsets of participants in the Nielsen Homescan panel with different combinations...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481579

Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S

Coibion, Olivier - 2012

We study the effects and historical contribution of monetary policy shocks to consumption and income inequality in the … income, consumption and total expenditures. Furthermore, monetary shocks can account for a significant component of the … historical cyclical variation in income and consumption inequality. Using detailed micro-level data on income and consumption, we …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460490

Are the Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks Big or Small?

Coibion, Olivier - 2011

This paper studies the small estimated effects of monetary policy shocks from standard VAR's versus the large effects from the Romer and Romer (2004) approach. The differences are driven by three factors: the different contractionary impetus, the period of reserves targeting and lag length...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461625

Why Are Target Interest Rate Changes So Persistent?

Coibion, Olivier - 2011

While the degree of policy inertia in central banks' reaction functions is a central ingredient in theoretical and empirical monetary economics, the source of the observed policy inertia in the U.S. is controversial, with tests of competing hypotheses such as interest-smoothing and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461950

Monetary Policy, Trend Inflation and the Great Moderation : An Alternative Interpretation

Coibion, Olivier - 2008

With positive trend inflation, the Taylor principle is not enough to guarantee a determinate equilibrium. We provide new theoretical results on restoring determinacy in New Keynesian models with positive trend inflation and combine these with new empirical findings on the Federal Reserve's...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464026

Strategic Interaction Among Heterogeneous Price-Setters In An Estimated DSGE Model

Coibion, Olivier - 2008

We consider a DSGE model in which firms follow one of four price-setting regimes: sticky prices, sticky-information, rule-of-thumb, or full-information flexible prices. The parameters of the model, including the fractions of each type of firm, are estimated by matching the moments of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464325

Inflation Expectations as a Policy Tool?

Coibion, Olivier - 2018

We assess whether central banks may use inflation expectations as a policy tool for stabilization purposes. We review recent work on how expectations of agents are formed and how they affect their economic decisions. Empirical evidence suggests that inflation expectations of households and firms...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012452934

Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations

Coibion, Olivier - 2020

Using a daily survey of U.S. households, we study how the Federal Reserve's announcement of its new strategy of average inflation targeting affected households' expectations. Starting with the day of the announcement, there is a very small uptick in the minority of households reporting that they...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481139

The Voice of Monetary Policy

Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Pham, Tho; Talavera, Oleksandr - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

We develop a deep learning model to detect emotions embedded in press conferences after the meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee and examine the influence of the detected emotions on financial markets. We find that, after controlling for the Fed's actions and the sentiment in policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496146

Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations

Coibion, Olivier - 2019

We study how different forms of communication influence the inflation expectations of individuals in a randomized controlled trial. We first solicit individuals' inflation expectations in the Nielsen Homescan panel and then provide eight different forms of information regarding inflation....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479438