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We develop a model to study optimal decision making in the face of uncertainty about the timing and structure of a future event. The model is used to study optimal decision making and welfare when individuals face uncertainty about when and how Social Security will be reformed. When individuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457084
If an investor wants to form a portfolio of risky assets and can exert effort to collect information on the future value of these assets before he invests, which assets should he learn about? The best assets to acquire information about are ones the investor expects to hold. But the assets the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464743
We study the design of optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. We use a Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) approach to study policy design, approximating the uncertainty by different discrete modes in a Markov chain, and by taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464755
technology. We use a field experiment with two stages of randomization to generate exogenous variation in the payoffs associated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457254
Two laboratory experiments - one a statistical urn problem, the other a monetary policy experiment - were run to test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470828
Empirical work testing for a negative tradeoff between risk and incentives, a cornerstone of agency theory, has not had …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470935
's systematic equity risk and falls with the firm's unsystematic equity risk. Further, an increase in the firm's total equity risk … is associated with a fall in q. The negative relation between the change in total risk and the change in q is robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470942
implications of risky behaviors by youths. I begin by reviewing perspectives on youth risk-taking from traditional rational … risk-taking by youths, and how this compares to adults. I review the evidence on youth risk taking from the studies in this … risk taking by youths, (b) despite this, these factors are not very successful in predicting the dramatic time series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470969
Typical value-at-risk (VAR) calculations involve the probabilities of extreme dollar losses, based on the statistical … VAR values that are adjusted for risk aversion, time preferences, and other variations in economic valuation. In the … context of a representative agent equilibrium model, we construct an estimator of the risk-aversion coefficient that is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471198
This paper examines monetary policy in Rudebusch and Svensson's (1999) two equation macroeconomic model when the policymaker recognizes that the model is an approximation and is uncertain about the quality of that approximation. It is argued that the minimax approach of robust control provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471286