Staff work for this report has entailed mainly a forecasting exercise covering 1983 in depth and 1984 on a preliminary basis. The 1984 projections are not presented in tabular form but are incorporated at various point in the text to amplify the analysis

The global economy is at another highly uncertain moment: tentative signs of stabilization earlier this year have receded, and the outlook is increasingly risky and uncertain. At the same time, divisions within and across countries are deepening, exacerbated by rising fragmentation. Strong...

This paper examines the World Economic Outlook forecasting record for the principal performance indicators for the major industrial countries and corresponding aggregates and for groups of non-oil developing countries. Several criteria were used in evaluating the forecasts: the computation and...