Similar Search Results

Further VAR evidence for the effectiveness of a credit channel in Germany

Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002

In this paper, the empirical relevance of the credit channel for the explanation of monetary policy transmission in … Germany during the period of monetary targeting from 1975 to 1998 is analyzed. While existing studies of the credit channel … empirical evidence for the effectiveness and relevance of a credit channel in Germany can be reported. -- vectorautoregressive …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009626675

Forecasting the real output using fractionally integrated techniques

Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2001

The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of fractionally integrated techniques. Using a version of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994), we show that the series can be specified in terms of I(d) statistical models with d...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613608

Deconstructing the International Business Cycle : Why Does a U.S. Sneeze Give the Rest of the World a Cold?

International Monetary Fund - 2010

The 2008 crisis underscored the interconnectedness of the international business cycle, with U.S. shocks leading to the largest global slowdown since the 1930s. We estimate spillover effects across major advanced country regions in a structural VAR (SVAR) using pre-crisis data. Our new method...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402644

The response of long-term interest rates to news about monetary policy actions : empirical evidence for the US and Germany

Nautz, Dieter; Wolters, Jürgen - 1998

We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions indicated by changes in the very short rate affect long-term interest rates. Our main point is that the expectations hypothesis implies that very long rates should only react to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577

The transmission of German monetary policy in the pre-Euro period

Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 2001

A small macroeconomic model is constructed to study the transmission of the monetary policy conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank (DBB) since the middle of the 1970s. For this purpose quarterly, seasonally unadjusted data for the period from 1975 to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780

Comparison of bootstrap confidence intervals for impulse responses of German monetary systems

Benkwitz, Alexander; Lütkepohl, Helmut; Wolters, Jürgen - 1999

It is argued that standard impulse response analysis based on vector autoregressive models has a number of shortcomings. Although the impulse responses are estimated quantities, measures for sampling variability such as confidence intervals are often not provided. If confidence intervals are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580485

Was there a regime change in the German monetary transmission mechanism in 1983?

Candelon, Bertrand; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000

Recent investigations of the transmission mechanism of German monetary policy arrive at quite different conclusions regarding its stability during the period of monetary targeting by the Bundesbank. In this study small dynamic models for the monetary sector of the German economy are analyzed in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583433

Lag selection in subset VAR models with an application to a US monetary system

Brüggemann, Ralf; Lütkepohl, Helmut - 2000

Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885

Following Germany'S Lead : Using International Monetary Linkages to Identify the Effect of Monetary Policyon the Economy

International Monetary Fund - 2005

Forward-looking behavior on the part of the monetary authority leads least squares estimates to understate the true growth consequences of monetary policy interventions. We present instrumental variables estimates of the impact of interest rates on real output growth for several European...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400699

Inflation Targeting and Output Growth : Empirical Evidence for the European Union

International Monetary Fund - 2005

This paper evaluates the performance of two alternative policy rules, a forward-looking rule and a spontaneous adjustment rule, under alternative inflation targets, in terms of output losses in a macroeconomic model, using European Union data. The simulations suggest that forward-looking rules...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400852