Inflation followed a strikingly uniform pattern in all countries of the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia … variables are included. The pattern of inflation is explained mainly by past inflation, the strength of the US dollar, US … inflation, and—depending on the subset of countries analyzed—monetary and exchange rate policies and nonfuel commodity prices …

This paper examines the implications of elevated global food prices for inflation in select Central Asian economies … - Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. The findings suggest that global food inflation has significant … short-run effects that build over time. Inflation outcomes simulated under alternative global wheat price assumptions …