The 2008 crisis underscored the interconnectedness of the international business cycle, with U.S. shocks leading to the largest global slowdown since the 1930s. We estimate spillover effects across major advanced country regions in a structural VAR (SVAR) using pre-crisis data. Our new method...

The stress testing analysis in the United States was based on publicly available information and on models that are subject to a considerable degree of uncertainty. The stress tests illustrate important vulnerabilities in the banking sector. It highlights the importance of macrofinancial...

OTC derivatives markets were an increasing source of vulnerability heading into the crisis. OTC derivatives markets contributed to the financial crisis. Credit derivatives facilitated the development and growth of the structured securities markets; and the purchasing, packaging, and distribution...

This note reviews outgoing U.S. consolidated regulatory and supervisory arrangements and explores options to strengthen them. Although U.S. consolidated regulation and supervision span from the smallest financial groups to the largest and most complex, much effort is focused on the latter. This...

Though The United States has experienced a devastating financial crisis owing to multifaceted factors, it started showing recovery. The authorities welcomed the program, which included strengthening microprudential regulation, establishing macroprudential responsibilities, strengthening market...

The key findings of the United States’s Basel II Implementation Preparedness are discussed. Certain policy choices that the authorities have made or may make related to allowing banks to choose the capital regime that applies to them may open up arbitrage possibilities that the authorities...

This technical note reviews the United States Federal Reserve’s oversight of payment, clearing, and settlement systems. As is typical for central banks, the Federal Reserve plays multiple and important roles in payment and settlement systems. The Federal Reserve also exercises supervisory and...

This paper presents an econometric model of U.S. current account transactions. The model is used to analyze the factors behind the deterioration in the U.S. external position during the 1980s and to examine the sensitivity of the U.S. current account balance to changes in factors which are its...

This paper considers the demand for various monetary aggregates with a view to assessing their potential roles as intermediate variables for monetary policy. Illustrative estimates using a generalized autoregressive distributed lag model are presented. For M1, the results support an “error...

This paper presents a technical note on Crisis Management Arrangements for the United States. The crisis has seen widespread systemic instability, large-scale fiscal support, and an increase in moral hazard. The lack of a formal systematic process for the assessment of risks may have contributed...