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Estimating Potential Output with a Multivariate Filter
International Monetary Fund - 2010
This paper develops a simple model for measuring potential output that uses data on inflation, unemployment, and capacity utilization. We apply the model to 10 countries, in addition to the United States and the euro area. While there is a substantial amount of uncertainty around our estimates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403161
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The Recent Behavior of Business Fixed Investment in the United States and the Role of Computers
International Monetary Fund - 1989
In the 1980s, U.S. real investment in high technology equipment has grown rapidly while other components of business … fixed investment have been weak. The surge in real high technology investment has been accompanied by a very sharp decline … investment was extended to cover the period through 1988, the equation for nonresidential structures performed much as before …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396096
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Tax Policy and Business Investment in the United States : Evidence from the 1980's
International Monetary Fund - 1988
This paper examines the behavior of business fixed investment in the United States in the 1980s. A background … discussion of the long-term behavior of the components of business fixed investment is provided, setting the context for the … empirical analysis. A standard neoclassical model of business fixed investment is specified and estimated, with output and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396320
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Deconstructing the International Business Cycle : Why Does a U.S. Sneeze Give the Rest of the World a Cold?
International Monetary Fund - 2010
The 2008 crisis underscored the interconnectedness of the international business cycle, with U.S. shocks leading to the largest global slowdown since the 1930s. We estimate spillover effects across major advanced country regions in a structural VAR (SVAR) using pre-crisis data. Our new method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402644
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Model of the U.S. Current Account
International Monetary Fund - 1988
This paper presents an econometric model of U.S. current account transactions. The model is used to analyze the factors behind the deterioration in the U.S. external position during the 1980s and to examine the sensitivity of the U.S. current account balance to changes in factors which are its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396470
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Money Demand in the United States
International Monetary Fund - 1988
This paper considers the demand for various monetary aggregates with a view to assessing their potential roles as intermediate variables for monetary policy. Illustrative estimates using a generalized autoregressive distributed lag model are presented. For M1, the results support an “error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396094
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MULTIMOD : A Multi-Region Econometric Model
International Monetary Fund - 1988
The paper describes a global model consisting of several industrial and developing country blocks built to analyze alternative economic policies in a medium-term context. The model, which has been used to construct medium-term scenarios for the World Economic Outlook, consists of aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395761
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Why is China Growing So Fast?
International Monetary Fund - 1997
Since 1978 the Chinese economy has grown on average more than 9 percenta year. Per capita income has nearly quadrupled in the past 15 years andsome analysts predict that within 20 years the Chinese economy will belarger than that of the United States. This pamphlet analyzes the reasonsfor the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403126
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Kingdom of Lesotho : Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix
International Monetary Fund - 2005
This Selected Issues paper on the Kingdom of Lesotho reviews the broad objectives and key institutional features of the Common Monetary Area (CMA) relating to currency arrangements. The CMA Agreement provides for the three small member countries to have access to South African capital and money...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014405576
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Investment : Specific Technology Shocks and International Business Cycles: An Empirical Assessment
International Monetary Fund - 2010
In this paper, we first introduce investment-specific technology (IST) shocks to an otherwise standard international … the relative price of investment to build and estimate these IST processes across the U.S and a ""rest of the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397271