This paper examines Romania’s external stability risks. Recent Romanian data indicate high increases in real wages, not matched by comparable productivity gains. Both the government and the National Bank of Romania (NBR) have highlighted the importance of a responsible and stabilizing wage...

The staff report for the 2008 Article IV Consultation of Romania reviews the issues to tighten fiscal policy, putting less of the stabilization burden on the fledgling inflation-targeting framework. GDP growth has remained strong, underpinned by massive capital inflows. Executive Directors...

Economic growth finally turned positive, but further recovery will be delayed, as fiscal austerity measures and recent floods will weigh on domestic demand. The macroeconomic outlook has weakened and continues to be subject to exceptional uncertainties. With the enactment of the ambitious...

The comprehensive program supported by the IMF, the European Union, and the World Bank has helped Romania in stabilizing its economy, reversing imbalances, rebuilding confidence of international financial markets, and setting a sustainable economic growth. Executive Directors appreciated the...

The comprehensive program supported by the IMF, the European Union, and the World Bank has helped Romania in stabilizing its economy, reversing imbalances, rebuilding confidence of international financial markets, and setting a sustainable economic growth. Executive Directors appreciated the...

Romania has made significant progress in stabilization and reform. Executive Directors welcomed this development, and stressed the need to maintain monetary and fiscal policies, and accelerate structural reforms. They welcomed the fiscal strengthening and progress in bank restructuring and...

Romania’s GDP growth averaged more than 61⁄2 percent per year from 2003 to 2008, as foreign direct investment and capital inflows helped finance high consumption and investment growth. The staff report for Romania’s request for a Stand-By Arrangement is also elaborated. Robust export...

The 2007 Article IV Consultation explains Romania’s fiscal and income policies and financial sector issues. The economic outlook is clouded by a widening current account imbalance and the risk of a resurgence of inflation pressures, as a result of strong domestic demand that is being fuelled...

The growth outlook remains weak and uncertain. Romania’s decision to rely primarily on expenditure cuts to close the fiscal gap is ambitious, but entails implementation risks. Progress on fiscal reforms has resumed. In the medium term, fiscal policy should aim at a more permanent reduction in...

This Selected Issues paper discusses Romania’s modeling monetary policy. A simple Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) for Romania has been designed to help in the preparation of the IMF staff’s forecasts and policy assessments. A major advantage of this approach is that it allows...