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backward-looking inflation expectations. However, it does not lead to instability in several large multicountry econometric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396137
A small macroeconomic model based on familiar theoretical considerations is developed and estimated using data from 31 developing countries. Efficient estimation techniques are used to control for country heterogeneity under the assumption of rational expectations. The estimates and the test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396265
The dynamic responses of a developing economy to a variety of policy and external shocks are studied using an empirical macroeconomic model which embodies rational expectations, perfect capital mobility, and import rationing. These features, which are relatively new in developing-country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396467
model embodies the key principle that, in an inflation-targeting framework, the role of monetary policy is to provide an … anchor for inflation and inflation expectations. The development and calibration of this model is an ongoing process. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245389
This paper examines the inflation expectations, monetary policy credibility, and dollarization. Country fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245416
the inflation tax. Accordingly, continued effort is likely to be needed to attain a fiscal position that is sustainable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248177
Cambodia became dollarized suddenly in the early 1990s, as a result of massive dollar inflows stemming from a postconflict situation. Considering that the amount of dollars in circulation is unusually high, we attempt to estimate the true degree of dollarization empirically. Our results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248256
This Selected Issues paper for South Africa presents a quantitative analysis of inflation dynamics in the country. The … inflation. Exposed to exchange rate and other shocks, the model confirms that a delayed policy response to inflation shocks … leads to persistently higher inflation rates and, subsequently, to a sharp real contraction of the economy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252771
.2 percent to 7.8 percent. A fixed wage or indexation to consumption price inflation increases volatility most. Indexation to … wage inflation or unit labor cost growth is preferable, largely preserving labor market flexibility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263930
An important aim of this paper is to take shifts in the long-term anchor in the empirical specifications. The study examines exchange-rate pass-through and external adjustment in the euro area. The impact on third-country trade and investment is also discussed. A better understanding of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824959