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This paper analyzes the main conceptual issues that arise in assessing external sustainability with a view toward developing operational criteria for the purposes of multilateral surveillance. The main contribution of the analysis is to show how conditional forecasts of external imbalance may be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396367
This paper reviews the financial implications of aging for the pension system in Belgium during 1995-2050. Our simulations indicate a strong rise in pension expenditure over the next half century, as is the case in other industrialized countries. In Belgium, the problem is particularly acute in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396528
Inflation-forecast targeting is state of the art for monetary policy. This book explores first principles, including …Part I. The frontiers of monetary policymaking. 1. An overview of inflation-forecast targeting -- Part II. Principles … and practices of inflation-forecast targeting. 2. First principles -- 3. Managing expectations -- 4. Nuts and bolts of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874333
This paper reviews the long-term growth performance of the major industrial countries and discusses some of the many factors that have been identified as possible sources of the marked slowdown in growth since the early 1970s. According to the view of different demographic developments across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400806
Observers have often characterized asset markets as being subject to periods of tranquility and periods of turbulence. Until recently, however, researchers were unable to produce closed-form asset pricing formulas in a model environment of time-varying risk. Some work by Abel provided us with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396175
This paper analyzes the dynamics of the real exchange rate and the price of equity for a small open economy using an optimizing model in which the process of capital accumulation entails adjustment costs. The analysis demonstrates that along an adjustment path toward long-run equilibrium,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396304
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004306919
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004298960
This Selected Issues paper highlights the Philippine growth performance led by the services sector. Average GDP growth is higher in the post-Asian crisis period in the Philippines, while the majority of the Philippines’s regional peers have experienced substantially lower growth in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404930