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Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows : Some New Evidence
International Monetary Fund - 2004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409758
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Deconstructing the International Business Cycle : Why Does a U.S. Sneeze Give the Rest of the World a Cold?
International Monetary Fund - 2010
The 2008 crisis underscored the interconnectedness of the international business cycle, with U.S. shocks leading to the largest global slowdown since the 1930s. We estimate spillover effects across major advanced country regions in a structural VAR (SVAR) using pre-crisis data. Our new method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402644
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Model of the U.S. Current Account
International Monetary Fund - 1988
This paper presents an econometric model of U.S. current account transactions. The model is used to analyze the factors behind the deterioration in the U.S. external position during the 1980s and to examine the sensitivity of the U.S. current account balance to changes in factors which are its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396470
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Money Demand in the United States
International Monetary Fund - 1988
This paper considers the demand for various monetary aggregates with a view to assessing their potential roles as intermediate variables for monetary policy. Illustrative estimates using a generalized autoregressive distributed lag model are presented. For M1, the results support an “error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396094
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Guarding Against Fiscal Risks in Hong Kong SAR
International Monetary Fund - 2007
volatility creates risks to service provision, possibly entailing sudden tax changes, or even requiring new borrowing. After … fiscal savings (reserves), and the impact alternate policy choices could have on revenue volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400988
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Interest Rate Volatility and Risk in Indian Banking
International Monetary Fund - 2004
The easing of controls on interest rates has led to higher interest rate volatility in India. Hence, there is a need to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404135
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Macroeconomic Fundamentals, Price Discovery and Volatility Dynamics in Emerging Markets
International Monetary Fund - 2009
This study characterizes volatility dynamics in external emerging bond markets and examines how prices and volatility … markets are found to a¤ect both conditional returns and volatility, with the e¤ects on volatility being more pronounced and … volatility dynamics in external emerging bond markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404285
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Exchange Arrangements and Foreign Exchange Markets : Developments and Issues
International Monetary Fund - 2003
This paper reviews developments and issues in the exchange arrangements and currency convertibility of IMF members. Against the backdrop of continuing financial globalization and a series of emerging market crises since 1997, there have been important changes in the evolution of exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404579
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Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade
International Monetary Fund - 1984
In View of the continuation of substantial movements in exchange rate relationships among major currencies, the recent increase in protectionist pressures, and the disappointing performance of world trade, renewed concern has been expressed about the possible adverse effects of exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014406218
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The Impact of Introducing a Minimum Wageon Business Cycle Volatility : A Structural Analysis for Hong Kong SAR
International Monetary Fund - 2008
We study the impact of a minimum wage on business cycle volatility, depending upon its coverage and adjustment … affecting 20 percent of employees would amplify output volatility by 0.2 percent to 9.2 percent, and employment volatility by ?1 ….2 percent to 7.8 percent. A fixed wage or indexation to consumption price inflation increases volatility most. Indexation to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401464