Showing 1 - 10 of 308
various tax rates lead to lower budget deficits in the long run, as a result of an expanding tax base and lower unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401626
The methodology used in this paper has three distinguishing features: the natural rate of unemployment and potential … output are jointly estimated; estimation integrates wage and price data with “real” and structural data; and third, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396053
The 2008 crisis underscored the interconnectedness of the international business cycle, with U.S. shocks leading to the largest global slowdown since the 1930s. We estimate spillover effects across major advanced country regions in a structural VAR (SVAR) using pre-crisis data. Our new method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402644
This paper presents an econometric model of U.S. current account transactions. The model is used to analyze the factors behind the deterioration in the U.S. external position during the 1980s and to examine the sensitivity of the U.S. current account balance to changes in factors which are its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396470
This paper considers the demand for various monetary aggregates with a view to assessing their potential roles as intermediate variables for monetary policy. Illustrative estimates using a generalized autoregressive distributed lag model are presented. For M1, the results support an “error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396094
Poverty and unemployment remained high in Botswana. The shortcomings of the labor market policies are responsible for a … high unemployment rate. This selected issues paper sheds considerable light on ways that Botswana can enhance inclusive … growth and reduce the high level of structural unemployment. Botswana was identified as having been able to sustain the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014395662
relatively minor intervention can dramatically increase the fragility of jobs, the length of unemployment spells, as well as the … extent of unemployment and labor market churning. With institutions of the type studied here common across many different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404032
The Southern African Customs Union (SACU), the oldest customs union in the world, comprises Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, Swaziland (known as the BLNS countries), and South Africa. This Selected Issues paper analyzes how policy has responded to the positive SACU revenue shock. It discusses the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014406659
This paper presents empirical estimates of the policy and structural determinants of the natural rate of unemployment … real wages to their equilibrium level. Estimates are presented showing how the generosity of the unemployment insurance … system is related to past levels of unemployment. The empirical results indicate that government policies have been largely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396305
This Selected Issues paper analyzes labor market policies and unemployment dynamics in Spain. It provides a brief …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397971