Over the last three years, a rapid expansion in domestic demand has dramatically widened the current account deficit in Iceland. Demand expanded faster than supply, and evidence of overheating is widespread. Monetary policy has tightened, but, until recently, the impact has been channeled...

This Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes on Data Module for Iceland highlights Data Module, response by the authorities, and detailed assessments using the data quality assessment framework. Iceland’s macroeconomic statistics are generally of high quality and are adequate to...

Given its small size and openness, the Icelandic economy has been subject to large shocks. Systematic coordination of monetary and fiscal policy, however, could help improve the inflation-output variability trade-off. The fiscal rule is designed to simultaneously ensure a consistently...

Rapid growth during the second half of the 1990s led to overheating and the emergence of financial vulnerabilities by the end of the decade. Over the medium term, investment projects will impart a significant impetus to economic activity, and output will grow for some years above its long-term...

The 2001 financial system stability assessment identified risks of financial sector instability, as rapid increases in foreign and domestic currency indebtedness, accumulating external imbalances, and inflation accompanied Iceland's expansion of the late 1990s. The insurance sector, composed of...

Iceland’s 2005 Article IV Consultation reports that new projects have rekindled rapid growth and the economy is exhibiting signs of overheating, with imbalances evident in inflation, the current account, and external debt. GDP grew at an average rate of 3.8 percent between 1995 and 2004,...

This Selected Issues paper for Iceland reports that it faces a considerably less favorable inflation-output variability trade-off than do Canada or the United States. A number of measures should be considered that could help minimize the cost of inflation breaching the tolerance band and help to...

This paper describes the Stand-By Arrangement for Iceland under the Emergency Financing Mechanism. The crisis is producing a sharp contraction of economic activity. Indicators of consumption are plummeting, and the deterioration in the labor market is accelerating, with rising unemployment and...

This 2002 Article IV Consultation highlights that the economic developments in Iceland since early 2001 have been characterized by progress in the correction of some of the imbalances. As sentiment turned, the currency depreciated sharply and growth in economic activity decelerated from 51⁄2...

This Selected Issues paper reports on the technical aspects of the model-based inflation forecasts of the Central Bank of Iceland (CBI) and the monetary transmission mechanism in Iceland. The paper summarizes the structure and results of time series models employed by the CBI to forecast...