The paper finds that simple econometric specifications yield surprising rich and complex dynamics -- relative prices respond to the nominal exchange rate and pass-through effects, import and export volumes respond to relative price changes, and the trade balance responds to changes in import and...

This paper presents a draft Decision that reflects the guidance provided by the Board. In February, the Board endorsed three overarching principles to guide a new Decision: (i) no new obligations for members, together with confirmation that dialogue and persuasion are key pillars of surveillance;...

Review the quality of the Fund staff's analysis and policy advice on exchange rate issues. The Fund is sometimes criticized for not taking a sufficiently clear position on several exchange rate issues, ranging from the assessment of the level of exchange rates to the description of exchange rate...