The effects of government expenditures on interest rates, terms of trade, and real exchange rates are examined in a three-good (importables, exportables, nontradables), two-country, intertemporal, optimizing model. Temporary spending increases (on tradable or nontradable goods) may raise or...

This paper analyzes an economy in which there are no interest-bearing assets, only equity shares. Equilibrium conditions are derived for the case of a closed economy, an open economy with trade in goods only, and finally one with trade in both goods and equity shares. It is shown that the rate...

The paper develops a small dynamic macroeconomic simulation model for a representative developing country which relies on familiar macroeconomic theory and in which expectations are formed rationally. The model is useful for the analysis and simulation of important policy questions in a...

This paper analyzes the performance and development of the Mexican pension annuity market in Mexico that stemmed from the 1997 pension reform. The Mexican experience displays interesting characteristics that provide lessons for other countries that still need to design the decumulation phase of...

While Thailand's pension system is typically described as a multipillar pension scheme, its design is highly fragmented and offers adequate coverage only to a small segment of the population, including civil servants and high-income individuals. In its 2018 Article IV report, the IMF highlighted...

The penetration level of the insurance and pension sectors in Malawi is low, but it seems adequate as compared with other countries in similar stages of development. Concentration and costs are high, the regulatory framework is outdated or inexistent and supervision is weak. An innovative pilot...

In the next 30-40 years, past changes in fertility and mortality will lead to a significant increase in the share of the elderly. This study suggests that these demographic trends may lead to a decline in the G-7 private savings rate after 2000, compounding the impact of social expenditure...

This paper reviews the financial implications of aging for the pension system in Belgium during 1995-2050. Our simulations indicate a strong rise in pension expenditure over the next half century, as is the case in other industrialized countries. In Belgium, the problem is particularly acute in...

This technical note examines pensions with profit contracts in Denmark. The Danish life insurance and pension sector is sensitive to a range of risks on both the asset and liability side of the balance sheet. One of the principal vulnerabilities for the sector arises out of the requirement to...

This paper presents a technical note on Mexico’s Financial Sector Assessment Program update. The Mexican experience displays interesting characteristics that provide lessons for other countries that still need to design the decumulation phase of their newly established second pillars. The...