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Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market
International Monetary Fund - 1990
This paper seeks to advance the discussion of monetary policy strategies in several ways. One involves a comparison of targets for nominal GNP and the price level, with emphasis on specificational robustness and implications for output variability. A second pertains to various “indicator”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396173
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Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market
International Monetary Fund - 1990
This paper examines the dynamics of the foreign exchange market. The first half addresses a number of key questions regarding the forecasts of future exchange rates made by market participants, by means of updated estimates using survey data. Here we follow most of the theoretical and empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396182
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Exchange Rate Volatility and World Trade
International Monetary Fund - 1984
In View of the continuation of substantial movements in exchange rate relationships among major currencies, the recent increase in protectionist pressures, and the disappointing performance of world trade, renewed concern has been expressed about the possible adverse effects of exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014406218
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Trade Costs and Real Exchange Rate Volatility : The Role of Ricardian Comparative Advantage
International Monetary Fund - 2005
This paper examines the impact of trade costs on real exchange rate volatility. We incorporate a multi … exchange rate volatility depends on relative technological differences and trade costs. These differences highlight a new … volatility. We then test the importance of this channel using a large panel of cross-country data over 1970-97, and find strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399797
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Remoteness and Real Exchange Rate Volatility
International Monetary Fund - 2005
This paper examines the impact of trade costs on real exchange rate volatility. The channel is examined by constructing … higher trade costs result in a larger nontradable sector. This, in turn, leads to higher real exchange rate volatility. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404193
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Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows : Some New Evidence
International Monetary Fund - 2004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014409758
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Exchange Rate Movements and International Interdependence of Stock Markets
International Monetary Fund - 1989
predictions of the theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396348
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Three Attempts At Inflation Forecasting in Pakistan
International Monetary Fund - 2005
This paper presents three empirical approaches to forecasting inflation in Pakistan. The preferred approach is a leading indicators model in which broad money growth and private sector credit growth help forecast inflation. A univariate approach also yields reasonable forecasts, but seems less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400746
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Guarding Against Fiscal Risks in Hong Kong SAR
International Monetary Fund - 2007
volatility creates risks to service provision, possibly entailing sudden tax changes, or even requiring new borrowing. After … fiscal savings (reserves), and the impact alternate policy choices could have on revenue volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400988
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Interest Rate Volatility and Risk in Indian Banking
International Monetary Fund - 2004
The easing of controls on interest rates has led to higher interest rate volatility in India. Hence, there is a need to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014404135