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Sharp increase in house prices combined with the extraordinary Chinese lending growth during 2009 has led to concerns of an emerging real estate bubble. We find that, for China as a whole, the current levels of house prices do not seem significantly higher than would be justified by underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008777035
This 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights that Norwegian economy has been performing well, with mainland GDP growing steadily. However, the continuing buildup of assets in the sovereign wealth fund and the increasing share of the mainland economy that is supplying goods and services to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245796
1970s, enabling it to escape the middle-income trap. Policies should aim to tackle the weakness of domestic demand and … growth hinders stabilization in household debt and weighs on domestic demand, while services sector productivity is very low. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242583
contemporaneous correlation between credit and demand, while the empirical link between exports and demand seems slightly weaker. The … results for import demand point to a strong correlation between imports and exports. The export variable is highly significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242836
This selected issues paper on Indonesia was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with the member country. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed on August 21, 2012. The views expressed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243208
floods, with real GDP growing by 6.5 percent. Private consumption rose 6.7 percent, reflecting pent-up demand and government … investment grew by 14.4 percent. With growth driven by domestic demand, the current account surplus is expected to reach a small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243217
The Philippines’ macroeconomic fundamentals have improved considerably during the past decade. However, new macrofinancial challenges are emerging. The economy is continuing to adjust to the large persistent inflows from abroad. Transmission of domestic policy interest rates has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243342
vulnerabilities; and how to best manage aggregate demand in this context, as growth is slowing yet risks are still rising. A key … achieve the desired transformation of the economy, but will also be challenging. Demand management. Reining in credit growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243741
This staff report on People’s Republic of China 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights macroeconomic developments and outlook. China has maintained robust growth since the global crisis, but the heavy reliance on credit and investment to sustain activity is raising vulnerabilities. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244201
rotation back to domestic demand-led growth, the current account deficit is widening again, while inflation remains above …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244217