Showing 1 - 10 of 1,467
The Selected Issues paper of Lebanon provides an update of the vulnerability assessment based on the balance sheet approach. It explores the interest rate determination, the strength of the link to international interest rates, and exposure to international interest rate shocks, summarizes the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014405486
Lebanon’s credit growth in 2008–10 has been concentrated in trade and services, household loans, and the construction sector. These sectors accounted for almost 80 percent of all new loans extended since 2008. Real estate lending in particular has been increased substantially. On the demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397027
The small states of the Asia and Pacific region face unique challenges in raising their growth potential and living …-cyclical. Within the Asia-Pacific small states group, the micro states are subject to more vulnerability and macroeconomic volatility … than the rest of the Asia-Pacific small states …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014410680
, explain a large part of the diversity in savings behavior in Asia across eight countries as well as over time. Inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396475
This paper presents three empirical approaches to forecasting inflation in Pakistan. The preferred approach is a leading indicators model in which broad money growth and private sector credit growth help forecast inflation. A univariate approach also yields reasonable forecasts, but seems less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400746
The 2008 crisis underscored the interconnectedness of the international business cycle, with U.S. shocks leading to the largest global slowdown since the 1930s. We estimate spillover effects across major advanced country regions in a structural VAR (SVAR) using pre-crisis data. Our new method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402644
The introduction of inflation targeting in 2006, together with important economic developments such as dedollarization, marked the beginning of a new macroeconomic framework in Armenia, which is likely to have changed the effectiveness of monetary policy. This paper is the first attempt to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403230
The paper developes a VAR macrofinance model of the Czech economy. It shows that yield misalignments from the yields implied by the macrofinance model partially determine subsequent yield changes over three to nine months. These yield misalignments tend to persist for a number of months. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396906
In this paper we identify some of the main factors behind systemic risk in a set of international large-scale complex banks using the novel CoVaR approach. We find that short-term wholesale funding is a key determinant in triggering systemic risk episodes. In contrast, we find no evidence that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014396950
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425652